A new tropical system has developed in the Arabian Sea, currently situated approximately 400 kilometers from the southern coast of Oman, according to numerical weather models seen by Barran Press.

Forecasts indicate that the system's effects will reach Oman's shores by Monday evening, with heavy rainfall expected across much of the country on Tuesday and Wednesday. As the system moves inland, it is anticipated to bring significant rainfall to various regions.

In terms of its broader impact, the new tropical system may also affect eastern Yemen, southern UAE, and southeastern Saudi Arabia on Wednesday, with moderate to light rainfall predicted.

Specifically, the Al-Mahra Governorate in eastern Yemen is expected to experience heavy rains on Thursday, October 17, while moderate rainfall could reach Socotra Island. On Friday, October 18, moderate to light rains are projected for Socotra and Hadramout, before the effects of the system dissipate in southeastern Saudi Arabia.

On Sunday, the National Center for Meteorology and Early Warning (governmental) issued a warning regarding the formation of a tropical depression off the eastern and southeastern Arabian Sea. It noted that this depression is likely to directly affect the coasts of Al-Mahra and the Socotra Archipelago.

The center's daily bulletin highlighted the potential for cumulonimbus clouds, thunderstorms, and rainfall over eastern Yemeni waters, indicating that cloudy conditions are expected for the Socotra Archipelago and eastern coasts, as well as the eastern Gulf of Aden.

Additionally, the center warned of strong winds reaching up to 60 knots in eastern waters, advising fishermen and vessel operators in the region to be cautious of rough seas and wave heights. Citizens in the Socotra Archipelago were also cautioned against staying in riverbeds and flood-prone areas during and after rainfall.