On November 17, 2024, meteorological models indicated the ongoing development of a rain-bearing weather system located in the far southern Arabian Sea, with its initial indirect effects already being felt on Socotra Island, southeastern Yemen.

Data from the numerical weather models, followed by Barran Press, suggest that the rainy weather system is expected to advance northwestward, making direct impacts on Socotra by Tuesday, November 19, with heavy to moderate rainfall that could lead to flooding in the valleys.

Further forecasts predict that the rainy weather will extend towards Yemen’s southern and eastern coasts, with direct effects anticipated in the city of Aden on Friday, November 22. Heavy to moderate rainfall is expected to begin affecting Aden, with some preliminary rainfall possible on Thursday evening as part of the system’s indirect influence.

Additionally, sporadic rain is forecasted for the early part of next week across several provinces, including Abyan, Al-Dhale, Shabwa, Hadramaut, Lahij, Ibb, and Taiz, as the weather system continues to spread.