Yemen's Battle Through the Lens of Aleppo: How Yemenis Followed the Collapse of the Iranian Axis in Syria

Sunday 0 Dec 2024 |1 month ago
Yemen's Battle Through the Lens of Aleppo

Barran Press

For the fourth consecutive day, Syrian opposition forces continue their advance in northern Syria during the military operation launched against Bashar al-Assad's regime forces, Hezbollah, and Iranian-backed armed units on November 27, under the name "Deterring Aggression."

Notably, Assad's forces, supported by Iran and Russia, have crumbled before the opposition forces, which have so far managed to control most of Aleppo, Syria's second-largest and most important city, as well as the entire Idlib province and large parts of Hama province.

This unexpected collapse of Iran's axis in Syria has raised concerns among other Iranian-backed armed groups in the region, particularly the Houthi group, classified as a terrorist organization, which has been waging war against the internationally recognized Yemeni government and the Yemeni people for the tenth consecutive year with comprehensive Iranian support and funding.

"Barran Press" captures reactions from Yemeni researchers, activists, and writers to the events in Aleppo, following the collapse of Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, considered the largest faction of the Iranian Axis and the main supporter of Assad's regime since 2011.

The Awaited Door

Dr. Faris Al-Beel, head of the Future Yemeni Center for Strategic Studies, said, "Aleppo will undoubtedly change the balance," adding in a post on his "X" account, monitored by "Barran Press," that "Iran is now tearing its coat apart, and may push its factions in Iraq to Syria into a new trap."

"All of Iran's attempts to stay safe after Hezbollah's fall are collapsing, and perhaps the next in Iraq is the most important to remove its claws from the region," he continued.

"In all this, the missing piece is the Houthis, whom Iran will not spare if things reach their desired end. This is the awaited door, where the liberation of Syria and the humiliation of Iraqi factions will pave the way for Yemenis to rid themselves of the Houthis and prevent their survival," Al-Beel concluded.

Lesson from Aleppo

Journalist Khaled Salman wrote in a lengthy article on his "X" account that "Aleppo offers us a model lesson that the Revolutionary Guards and all of Tehran's allies are fragile formations that quickly collapse. If the will to fight is united and political consensus is achieved, liberating Yemen will not be a Caesarean birth but a swift one, similar to Aleppo in its results."

Salman compared the battle of Aleppo with the Yemenis' battle against the Houthis, concluding that "our upcoming battle (in Yemen) is a national state battle against a sectarian group, a war of independence to liberate decision-making from Iranian hegemony and all foreign interventions."

"The battle for Hodeidah and Sana'a will be swift and decisive, similar to Aleppo in terms of time and speed of victory, but with our non-extremist tools, our conditions, and a specific goal of achieving an inclusive state that believes in rights," he added.

Fox Cunning and Axis Defeats

Political analyst Abdul Salam Mohammed said, "The war in Aleppo, and the terror in the occupier's heart in Sana'a," adding, "The Houthis show interest in an illusory peace, a neighborly relationship with Saudi Arabia in fox cunning clothes, and a fatalistic surrender to Washington under false death slogans."

"What happened in Aleppo will happen in Fallujah, and it will happen in Sana'a. Assembly is the opposite of disassembly!" he asserted.

In another post, he said, "They said Hezbollah is ten times stronger than Hamas, but Hezbollah fell in weeks, while the war in Gaza has been ongoing for over a year. Then the entire resistance axis fell in Aleppo, Syria, and perhaps Iran's influence in Syria and Iraq will fall. Yet, some still believe the Houthis are strong!"

"It seems the Houthis will fall from the news of the axis's defeats in the past three months," Abdul Salam concluded.

Illusion of Difference

Military affairs journalist and researcher Adnan Al-Jaberni said, "The Houthis look at Aleppo collapsing before the revolutionaries and console themselves by recalling the number of missiles, drones, and crowds to delude themselves that their situation is different and they have strength and leadership, but it's all an illusion."

"There must be a moment like this in Ibb, Sana'a, Amran, and Saada. Yemeni fighters will take pictures with ballistic and drone warehouses, and it won't help," he added.

In another post, Al-Jaberni said, "For Abdul Malik Al-Houthi to see the axis's fortresses falling while Iran stands helpless to protect itself and follow the complexities of the current international situation means a lot to the Houthis regarding their ambition to play regional roles, although the local impact is less, of course. This situation makes them more flexible with Saudi Arabia."

Activist Ibrahim Abdul Qader commented in a post on his "X" account, monitored by "Barran Press," saying, "Joy in Aleppo and screams at the Houthis, strikes in Lebanon's suburbs and pain in Saada and the turrets."

"The Houthis feel their heads as they see the great collapse in Aleppo and the return of the people and the joy with tears. They delude themselves that they are an exception, with the difference in strength and time factor on their side, but all this will evaporate at the first move of the returnees, and the moment of victory will come," he added.

Faster Collapse

Journalist and writer Saleh Al-Baydani believes that "all the reasons for this rapid collapse are present in the Yemeni scene at both the popular and regional levels," predicting that "the collapse of Iran's agents in Yemen will be faster than expected."

In another post on his "X" account, monitored by "Barran Press," Al-Baydani said, "The great collapse of Iran's axis began from Lebanon's southern suburbs, passing through Aleppo, and will end in Sana'a."

"This is how rented projects that oppose their people work, acting as cheap tools with no future or safe haven!" he added.

Activist Abdul Kafi Murshid said, "The financial crisis, the growth of drug trade, corruption, human trafficking, and smuggling are the main reasons for the collapse of Assad's war system and his allies in Syria."

"All these reasons exist with the Houthi militia in Sana'a and Saada," he added, asking the internationally recognized Yemeni government, "When will Sana'a embrace Aleppo, legitimacy?"

Houthi Prisons

Commenting on a video circulated by Syrian activists showing the moment women were freed from one of Aleppo's prisons, Al-Baydani said, "The scene of freeing Syrian women from Aleppo's prisons reminded me of the situation of Yemeni activist Sahar Al-Khawlani and other Yemeni women unjustly hidden in Houthi prisons."

"The day will come when the Houthis regret everything they have done to Yemenis, and tomorrow is near," he concluded.

Houthi Weakness and Conspiracy Theories

In recent comments, journalist Kamel Al-Khodani stated that the Houthi movement is currently experiencing its weakest phase, facing numerous challenges. He noted that the group is "socially ostracized" and "hated internally," resorting to extorting money from citizens to buy loyalty and establish security apparatuses. Al-Khodani emphasized that the Houthis are fearful of public dissent, mentioning how even a single post or tweet can terrify them, particularly the voice of a woman demanding her salary.

In a post on X (formerly Twitter), which was noted by Barran Press, he remarked, "What sustains the Houthis is not their strength but rather the cowardice of their enemies and a conspiracy from those who claim to oppose them."

Meanwhile, lawyer Faisal Al-Majidi echoed similar sentiments in a brief post on the platform, stating, "The joy of liberating Aleppo will be followed by the delight of reclaiming Sana'a from the jaws of the Iranian hyena, the Houthis, God willing."

Fear and Threats

On the other side, the Houthi group has been closely monitoring the developments in Syria with great concern, as evident from the speeches and comments from its leadership on media outlets and social media platforms.

While the Houthi responses aligned with the Iranian narrative, which describes the situation in Aleppo as an "American-Israeli plot," Houthi leaders have warned against any military action directed at them in Yemen. For instance, Mahdi Al-Mashat, the head of the Houthi Political Council, characterized ongoing attempts by the "American enemy and its British lackey" as "desperate efforts" to incite conflict in Yemen. He threatened to confront any escalation against the group.

The statements and remarks made by Houthi leaders over the past four days have consistently claimed that the Houthis are distinct from other Iranian factions in the region and that they are capable of defending themselves and the gains they have achieved in their decade-long conflict, including their control over the Yemeni capital, Sana'a.

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